PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Democrat 15-20% 19%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$60.9K
High liquiditySpread
0.2 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Aug 5, 26, 8:19 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Minnesota Governor Election Winner
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Manifold MarketsRules
The 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
- The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively.
- Independent candidates will not represent options for either party.
Open markets
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- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Minnesota Governor Election Margin of Victory?
- Polymarket prices Democrat 15-20% at 19% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Minnesota Governor Election Margin of Victory resolve?
- Minnesota Governor Election Margin of Victory is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Minnesota Governor Election Margin of Victory settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.