PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Dems sweep 64.3%Leader of 4 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$28.4K
High liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
-3.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 11, 26, 3:08 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiAbdul El Sayed vote percent in Oakland County for 2026 Michigan senate?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
- For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.