PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Paul LePage (R) · —
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Stored reference
Paul LePage (R) 54.5%
Paul LePage (R) 54.5%Market quality
75 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$322.6
Liquidity
$123.8K
High liquidityOpen interest
$26.5K
Bid / Ask
— / —
Paul LePage (R)Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+7.0 pts
Market data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Jul 20, 26, 10:17 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Paul LePage (R)
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
ME-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PolymarketME-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PolymarketME-01 House Election Winner
PolymarketME-01 House winner?
KalshiME-02 House election: Matt Dunlap vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiME-02 House election: Paul LePage vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — ME-02 House winner? · Paul LePage 55%