Largest Democratic Margin of Victory
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedUnverified resolution data: California Proposition 50
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Probability Timeline
California Proposition 50100%
Virginia House of Delegates16%
Virginia Governor0%
New Jersey Governor0%
New York City Mayor0%
California Proposition 50Awaiting result
Virginia House of DelegatesAwaiting result
Virginia GovernorAwaiting result
New Jersey GovernorAwaiting result
New York City MayorAwaiting result
Rules
This market will resolve according to the election or referendum won by Democrats with the highest margin of victory compared to the other listed events, all scheduled for November 4, 2025:
- - the named outcome election - the named outcome election - the named outcome election - the named outcome election - California referendum “Proposition 50”
- If the results of any of these elections are not confirmed by July 31, 2026, this market will be resolved according to the results published thus far.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official election authority sources conducting the election.
