PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 96%-0.7pt
Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$567
Liquidity
$11.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
2.7% / 4.3%
Spread
1.6 pt
Tight spreadComments
10
7d Change
+0.9 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jan 19, 26, 8:34 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Kristi Noem be impeached by the house in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Kristi Noem announce she is divorcing her spouse, or will a divorce action be formally filed during the rest of '26
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SmarketsWhich party will win the U.S. House?
Kalshi2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
PoliticsKALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Total Vol
- $29.2M
- 24h Vol
- $945.4K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.4%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.7M
- 24h Vol
- $656.2K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate46.6%
- D-House, R-Senate35.9%
- R-House, R-Senate-1.0pt15.5%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $12.2M
KALSHIRhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Helena Foulkes-1.4pt98%
- Dan McKee+1.4pt2%
- Gregory Stevens-0.1pt0%
- Total Vol
- $858.7K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva52%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.0pt45.1%
- Renan Santos+0.8pt2%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-1.0pt74%
- New People (NL)+0.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.2pt3%
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Texas Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Kristi Noem impeached in 2026??
- Polymarket prices No at 96% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? resolve?
- Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Where else is Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets.