Current implied probability
1.1M-1.2M 52.8%+13.0ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$179.2
Liquidity
$28.1K
High liquiditySpread
12.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+7.5 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 2:19 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Open markets
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.8%
- Gavin Newsom13.7%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $222.4M
- 24h Vol
- $814.6K
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
- $671.2K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.6pt8.9%
- Total Vol
- $34M
- 24h Vol
- $468.7K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $17.1M
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December-2.0pt19%
- October13%
- September 30,-0.8pt4%
- Total Vol
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Next French Presidential Election
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Kansas Senate Election: Turnout?
- Polymarket prices 1.1M-1.2M at 53% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Kansas Senate Election: Turnout resolve?
- Kansas Senate Election: Turnout is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Kansas Senate Election: Turnout settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas.