Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?
2.3 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored reference
No 94%
No 94%Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$47
Liquidity
$10.9K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$698
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
1
7d Change
+2.5 pts
Market data
Updated 27 minutes ago
Jul 14, 26, 11:40 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will both Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossoff remain US senators through year-end?
PredictItWill Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock be on the Democratic ticket in 2028?
Manifold MarketsKeisha Lance Bottoms runs behind Jon Ossoff by...? (First Round)
PolymarketWill Jon Ossoff and/or Roy Cooper win their senate race by 10.000% or more?
Manifold MarketsJon Ossoff and Roy Cooper combined margin of victory of 25% or more?
Manifold MarketsWho will win by a bigger percentage margin, Roy Cooper or Jon Ossoff?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
- Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position.
- Announcements of a future departure do not qualify.
- The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
- Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
