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Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 6:48 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
9%+ 47%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
25 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$528.3
Low liquiditySpread
71.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 6:33 PM UTCOct 27, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
- The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election.
- Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
- If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
- If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
Open markets
Politics
KALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
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- $985.7K
- 24h Vol
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
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- $213.6M
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- $689.2K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Israel Election: The Democrats vote share??
- Polymarket prices 9%+ at 47% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Israel Election: The Democrats vote share? resolve?
- Israel Election: The Democrats vote share? is scheduled to resolve on October 27, 2026.
- How is Israel Election: The Democrats vote share? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.