PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
1k-2.5k 41%+39.7%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$990.4
Liquidity
$56.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
2.5% / 79.7%
Spread
3088.0%
Wide spread7d Change
+39.7%
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 4:35 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
1k-2.5k41%
Volume trend
$990Jul 325d of dataJul 27
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Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
- This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration.
- If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.