Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?
Geopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Feb 2, 2024, 3:00 AM
Provider-verified resolution
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Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
YesWon
NoLost
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas is no longer recognized as the primary governing authority in the Gaza Strip for any length of time between December 26, 2023, and January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM GMT+2.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- "Primary governing authority" is defined as Hamas having predominant political and military control in the Gaza Strip.
- In case of shared governance or significant disruptions, the group or authority with majority of control of the Gaza Strip will be considered the primary governing authority.
- If at any point within the time window of this market Hamas is not recognized as the primary governing authority of the Gaza Strip, this market may immediately resolve to "Yes".
- This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.