Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?
Geopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Feb 2, 2024, 3:00 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleDec 29, 23, 4:36 PMJan 31, 24, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas is no longer recognized as the primary governing authority in the Gaza Strip for any length of time between December 26, 2023, and January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM GMT+2.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- "Primary governing authority" is defined as Hamas having predominant political and military control in the Gaza Strip.
- In case of shared governance or significant disruptions, the group or authority with majority of control of the Gaza Strip will be considered the primary governing authority.
- If at any point within the time window of this market Hamas is not recognized as the primary governing authority of the Gaza Strip, this market may immediately resolve to "Yes".
- This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Hamas lose power in Gaza before February??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 24, 2026.
- When does Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? resolve?
- Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? is scheduled to resolve on January 31, 2024.
- How is Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas is no longer recognized as the primary governing authority in the Gaza Strip for any length of time between December 26, 2023, and January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM GMT+2.