First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election?
0.8 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection8d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 3:12 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Yes · —
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Stored reference
Yes 94.1%
Yes 94.1%Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$115.9
Liquidity
$376.7
Low liquidityOpen interest
$582.9
Bid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
—
Comments
0
7d Change
-1.2 pts
Market data
Updated 47 minutes ago
LaggingAug 14, 26, 9:27 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · Yes
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KalshiRules
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election outright in the first round.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
- If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.