First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?
31.5 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 58.4%-31.5pt
Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$1.6K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
33.0% / 84.0%
Spread
51.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
-32.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Aug 14, 26, 9:16 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election will be held on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
- If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
