PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 71%+1.5pt
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$94.8
Low liquidityBid / Ask
48.3% / 93.0%
Spread
44.8 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jul 1, 26, 10:32 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Proposition 2 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026.
- It would allow the state to deposit up to 20% of its general fund tax revenue into its rainy day fund each year, instead of the current 10%.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for California Rainy Day Fund Proposition?
- Polymarket prices Yes at 71% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does California Rainy Day Fund Proposition resolve?
- California Rainy Day Fund Proposition is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is California Rainy Day Fund Proposition settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Proposition 2 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026.