PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 53%-5.0pt
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$830.5
Low liquidityBid / Ask
27.0% / 79.0%
Spread
52.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
-7.5 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jul 1, 26, 10:30 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Proposition 1 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026.
- It would allow the state to borrow a record $11.25 billion for affordable housing, with $10 billion to buy, build, rehabilitate and preserve affordable homes and $1.25 billion to help veterans buy homes.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition?
- Polymarket prices Yes at 53% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition resolve?
- California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Proposition 1 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026.