This market resolved: Grüne
Resolved: Sep 21, 2026, 9:13 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 22, 2026, 7:22 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
AfD30%
Grüne100%
CDU5%
SPD6%
GrüneWon
CDULost
AfDLost
SPDLost
FDPLost
LinkeLost
FWLost
BSWLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
- If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations.