What are the current odds for AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner?

Polymarket prices Jay Feely at 100% as of July 23, 2026.

When does AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner resolve?

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner is scheduled to resolve on July 21, 2026.

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

9.9 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics Election

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Jay Feely

Resolved: Jul 22, 2026, 6:37 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Data quality warningStale data

Data as of Jul 22, 2026, 6:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2

Current implied probability

Jay Feely 100%+9.9pt

Leader of 24 outcomes

Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$3.7K

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Spread

0.1 pt

Tight spread

7d Change

+11.4 pts

Market data

Updated 32 days ago

Stale

Nov 25, 25, 10:24 PMJul 21, 26, 11:59 PM

Probability Timeline

Jay Feely100%

Paul Reevs0%

Joseph Chaplik0%

Jay Feely

+9.9 pts

100%

Gina Swoboda

Matt Gress

Jason Duey

Joseph Chaplik

-9.9 pts

Muchelle Ugenti-Rita

Todd Graham

Mark Brnovich

-0.2 pts

Kari Lake

Derrick Gallego

Kaitlin Purrington

Paul Reevs

Brandon Sowers

John Trobough

Candidate G

0.0 pts

Candidate H

0.0 pts

Candidate I

0.0 pts

Candidate J

0.0 pts

Candidate K

0.0 pts

Candidate L

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S.

The Republican primary will take place on July 21, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

9.9 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics Election

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Jay Feely

Resolved: Jul 22, 2026, 6:37 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Data quality warningStale data

Data as of Jul 22, 2026, 6:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2

Current implied probability

Jay Feely 100%+9.9pt

Leader of 24 outcomes

Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$3.7K

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Spread

0.1 pt

Tight spread

7d Change

+11.4 pts

Market data

Updated 32 days ago

Stale

Nov 25, 25, 10:24 PMJul 21, 26, 11:59 PM

Probability Timeline

Jay Feely100%

Paul Reevs0%

Joseph Chaplik0%

Jay Feely

+9.9 pts

100%

Gina Swoboda

Matt Gress

Jason Duey

Joseph Chaplik

-9.9 pts

Muchelle Ugenti-Rita

Todd Graham

Mark Brnovich

-0.2 pts

Kari Lake

Derrick Gallego

Kaitlin Purrington

Paul Reevs

Brandon Sowers

John Trobough

Candidate G

0.0 pts

Candidate H

0.0 pts

Candidate I

0.0 pts

Candidate J

0.0 pts

Candidate K

0.0 pts

Candidate L

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S.

The Republican primary will take place on July 21, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner?: Polymarket prices Jay Feely at 100% as of July 23, 2026.
When does AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner resolve?: AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner is scheduled to resolve on July 21, 2026.
How is AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner settled?: Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S.

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

Frequently asked questions

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