Current implied probability
2 72%-9.5%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$4.5K
Liquidity
$60.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
71.0% / 72.0%
Spread
1.4%
Tight spread7d Change
-15.5%
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Jul 6, 26, 10:07 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
272%
Volume trend
$4.5kJul 720d of dataJul 26
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Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
- This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
- No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
- A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
- This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies.