PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Daniele Monroe-Moreno 74.5%Vig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$5.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
72.0% / 74.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
+0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jun 26, 26, 5:09 PM UTCMay 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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GeminiWill the highest temperature in Las Vegas (LAS)(KLAS) exceed 95 F on September 20, 2026?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in Las Vegas (LAS)(KLAS) be below 74 F on September 20, 2026?
ForecastExRules
The 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of North Las Vegas, NV.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of North Las Vegas as a result of this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Clark County, and the City of North Las Vegas.