Would Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander?
InflationOne-OffEconomyEquitiesBusiness & CorporateSociety & Culture2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 62.2%
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198
Question type
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
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Updated 2 hours ago
StaleFeb 14, 26, 5:26 PM UTCFeb 14, 29, 5:23 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
Freddie deBoer offered Scott Alexander the following wager (see https://freddiedeboer.substack.com/p/im-offering-scott-alexander-a-wager )
- Let's say that they did agree under those original conditions.
- Each one is very wide, but he only has to lose once.
- This resolves to YES if Freddie is right about ALL of these conditions.
- This resolves to NO if Freddie is wrong about AT LEAST ONE of these conditions.
- Bet Conditions (Predicting a “Normal Economy”)
