Will "Which side of the AI safety community are you in?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
One-OffAI3mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 88.9%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleOct 23, 25, 8:47 AM UTCFeb 1, 27, 12:00 AM UTC
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Which side of the AI safety community are you in? is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
