Frontier labs ~trusted by the AI safety community at the end of 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Frontier labs ~trusted by the AI safety community at the end of 2026??

Manifold Markets prices Anthropic at 80% as of October 24, 2026.

When does Frontier labs ~trusted by the AI safety community at the end of 2026? resolve?

Frontier labs ~trusted by the AI safety community at the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Frontier labs ~trusted by the AI safety community at the end of 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will not bet on this market.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

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POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+1.0pt20%
• 2028+1.0pt16%
• 2027+2.0pt9%

Total Vol

$433.1K

24h Vol

$71.8K

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,-1.0pt78%
• December 15,74%
• November 30,+7.0pt65%

+9 more outcomes

Total Vol

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+3.0pt28.9%
• $1.5–$1.75T+1.4pt18.3%
• $2.0–$2.25T-0.6pt18.3%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt92%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027-3.0pt88.5%

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+3.3pt90.9%
• Anthropic-2.5pt8.1%
• OpenAI-0.1pt1%

+18 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude-0.7pt49.5%
• Gemini+0.1pt38%
• ChatGPT-0.2pt

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