Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 11:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 88.6%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleOct 24, 26, 11:44 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve identically to this Polymarket market: Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?
- Polymarket rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Vivek Ramaswamy campaign pulls its advertisement featuring Amy Acton's mother between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- The advertisement will be considered pulled if either of the following occurs within this market's timeframe: Vivek Ramaswamy or an authorized representative of his campaign publicly announces that the campaign has stopped, or will stop, airing the advertisement; or a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the campaign has pulled, withdrawn, or stopped airing the advertisement on television.
- Replacing the advertisement with a new or edited version that no longer features Amy Acton's mother will qualify.
- Editing the advertisement while it continues to feature Amy Acton's mother will not qualify.
