Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 52.5%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleAug 1, 26, 4:22 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?
Manifold MarketsWill Vivek Ramaswamy (R) be elected as the United States Governor for Ohio in the 2026 gubernatorial election?
ForecastExWill Vivek Ramaswamy ever hold an elected government position?
Manifold MarketsWill Tim Grady (I) be elected as the United States Governor for Ohio in the 2026 gubernatorial election?
ForecastExWhich party will win the 2026 election for governor of Ohio?
PredictItPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRules
(Identical market to: source market)
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $804.1K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.4M
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 53% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio? resolve?
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio? is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026.
- How is Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: (Identical market to: source market)