Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 24, 2026, 1:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 56.3%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleJun 6, 26, 12:33 PMDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes56%
Volume trend
$448Jul 232d of dataJul 24
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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KALSHIActive in these topics
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