Will Ultra-Orthodox Jews be mandatorily conscripted by the IDF by the end of 2028?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Ultra-Orthodox Jews be mandatorily conscripted by the IDF by the end of 2028??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 53.4% as of November 1, 2026.

When does Will Ultra-Orthodox Jews be mandatorily conscripted by the IDF by the end of 2028? resolve?

Will Ultra-Orthodox Jews be mandatorily conscripted by the IDF by the end of 2028? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.

How is Will Ultra-Orthodox Jews be mandatorily conscripted by the IDF by the end of 2028? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if at least 10% of formerly exempt Yeshiva guys are recruited to the IDF on a mandatory (i.e. not voluntary) basis in any year.

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POLYMARKET

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 29+0.1pt100%
• October 30+0.1pt100%
• November 1+1.7pt99%

+39 more outcomes

Total Vol

$42.6M

24h Vol

$996K

POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 31+0.4pt99%
• November 2+2.6pt95%
• November 4+3.5pt89%

+19 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

• March 31-2.5pt64%
• December 31+1.1pt42%
• November 30-4.0pt28%

+22 more outcomes

KALSHI

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

• No one-13.0pt41%
• Gadi Eizenkot+16.0pt34.5%
• Benjamin Netanyahu-4.0pt

POLYMARKET

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?

• December 31-5.0pt34%
• November 30-0.5pt25%
• November 2-3.0pt4%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

• No+1.0pt95%
• Yes-1.0pt5%

Total Vol

$28.9M

24h Vol

$92.5K

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• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
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