Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% or lower before Feb 1st 2027

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% or lower before Feb 1st 2027?

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 83.1% as of November 3, 2026.

When does Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% or lower before Feb 1st 2027 resolve?

Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% or lower before Feb 1st 2027 is scheduled to resolve on January 31, 2027.

How is Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% or lower before Feb 1st 2027 settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves based on the Silver bulletin data: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, currently (Oct 12th 2026) at 37.3%.

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POLYMARKET

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)

• None+2.0pt34.7%
• IA+0.8pt10.2%
• IA, KS-1.0pt6.1%

+125 more outcomes

Total Vol

$62.5M

24h Vol

$29.2M

KALSHI

Who will control the House?

• Democratic Party+0.1pt94%
• Republican Party6.2%

Total Vol

$110.6M

24h Vol

$14M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+3.0pt74.5%
• D-House, R-Senate-4.0pt19.5%
• Republicans sweep

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico-1.0pt73.5%
• Ken Paxton+1.0pt26.5%

Total Vol

$82.2M

24h Vol

$12.4M

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep+5.0pt74.8%
• R Senate, D-4.0pt18.4%
• Republicans Sweep5.8%

+2 more outcomes

KALSHI

Who will control the Senate?

• Democratic Party+5.0pt77.5%
• Republican Party-3.0pt23.5%

Total Vol

$34.3M

24h Vol

$7M

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