Will Trump still be president in June 2030 (given a 2025 presidency)?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Trump still be president in June 2030 (given a 2025 presidency)??

Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of October 31, 2026.

When does Will Trump still be president in June 2030 (given a 2025 presidency)? resolve?

Will Trump still be president in June 2030 (given a 2025 presidency)? is scheduled to resolve on June 1, 2030.

How is Will Trump still be president in June 2030 (given a 2025 presidency)? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This question is about if Trump will exceed the expected presidential term in case he is elected this year.

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KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+3.0pt69.5%
• D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt26.5%
• Republicans sweep-2.5pt5.5%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$77.7M

24h Vol

$9.8M

POLYMARKET

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

• None-2.0pt24.5%
• IA, KS+4.0pt13.3%
• IA+3.0pt11.2%

+125 more outcomes

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico70.5%
• Ken Paxton29.5%

Total Vol

$58.7M

24h Vol

$6M

KALSHI

Who will control the House?

• Democratic Party+1.7pt93.7%
• Republican Party-1.6pt6.5%

Total Vol

$86.6M

24h Vol

$4.5M

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep+2.0pt70.3%
• R Senate, D-1.0pt23.8%
• Republicans Sweep-2.0pt5%

+2 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party+1.0pt94.1%
• Republican Party-1.0pt5.9%

Total Vol

$33.3M

24h Vol

$2.1M

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