Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 85.4%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleMay 16, 26, 4:18 AM UTCJan 2, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Thomas Massie leave the GOP by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Thomas Massie say Trump should be impeached before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Thomas Massie endorse Ed Gallrein?
Manifold MarketsWill Thomas Massie win the Kentucky 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Thomas Massie ever become the President of the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill Thomas Massie win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRules
Resolves yes if Thomas Massie is no longer a congressman before his term ends on January 3 2027.
- Marjorie Taylor Greene left Congress after disagreeing with President.
- Could Massie do the same thing?
