Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 7:27 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 72.7%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jan 20, 26, 12:35 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Thomas Massie leave Congress before his term ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Thomas Massie say Trump should be impeached before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Thomas Massie endorse Ed Gallrein?
Manifold MarketsWill Thomas Massie win the Kentucky 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Thomas Massie ever become the President of the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill Thomas Massie win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRules
Will Resolve as Yes if Thomas Massie leaves the republican caucus in the house of representatives or otherwise leaves the Republican Party (if he declares it publicly)
