Will there be a federal law banning abortion nationally within the next five years?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolitics6moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96.3%
Forecasters
87
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMay 9, 22, 11:30 PM UTCMay 10, 27, 6:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
This market resolves to YES if, by 5/9/2027, the federal government passes a law saying that abortion is banned in all 50 states.
- A law can qualify even if it carves out exceptions for certain subsets of women (eg those whose health are in danger).
- This market resolves to YES immediately after this happens, even if the law is later repealed or struck down.