Will there be a federal law banning abortion nationally within the next five years?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolitics8moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96.7%
Forecasters
86
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleMay 9, 22, 11:30 PM UTCMay 10, 27, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
This market resolves to YES if, by 5/9/2027, the federal government passes a law saying that abortion is banned in all 50 states.
- A law can qualify even if it carves out exceptions for certain subsets of women (eg those whose health are in danger).
- This market resolves to YES immediately after this happens, even if the law is later repealed or struck down.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will there be a federal law banning abortion nationally within the next five years??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 97% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will there be a federal law banning abortion nationally within the next five years? resolve?
- Will there be a federal law banning abortion nationally within the next five years? is scheduled to resolve on May 10, 2027.
- How is Will there be a federal law banning abortion nationally within the next five years? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves to YES if, by 5/9/2027, the federal government passes a law saying that abortion is banned in all 50 states.