Current community forecast
No 65.1%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleOct 2, 22, 8:26 AM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This question resolves to yes once a polling date is announced and that poll is seen as legitimate by the Irish Times and the Times of London newspapers.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will there be a border poll in Northern Ireland on Irish reunification by the end of 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 65% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will there be a border poll in Northern Ireland on Irish reunification by the end of 2028? resolve?
- Will there be a border poll in Northern Ireland on Irish reunification by the end of 2028? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2028.
- How is Will there be a border poll in Northern Ireland on Irish reunification by the end of 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This question resolves to yes once a polling date is announced and that poll is seen as legitimate by the Irish Times and the Times of London newspapers.