Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 99%
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13
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 24, 26, 6:14 AM UTCNov 16, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
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Who will be the next White House Press Secretary?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next White House press secretary in 2026?
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KalshiNumber of White House Press Briefings in Oct 2026?
KalshiWhite House # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?
PolymarketWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 11?
PolymarketRules
Karoline Leavitt left the White House Press Secretary job at the end of August 2026.
- As of 2026-09-24 no successor has been named, and NBC News has reported the White House may not name a permanent replacement until after the November 3 midterm elections.
- RESOLUTION: Resolves YES if, on or before 2026-11-15 at 11:59 PM ET, the White House or President Trump publicly names a specific person (other than Karoline Leavitt) as White House Press Secretary, Acting Press Secretary, or Interim Press Secretary — either already serving in that title, or announced as the pick for it.
- Acceptable evidence (any one suffices): an official White House statement or whitehouse.gov listing; an on-record announcement by the President (including on Truth Social) or a named White House official; the person conducting an official White House press briefing while identified by the White House under one of those titles.
- Does NOT count: a deputy or principal deputy press secretary briefing WITHOUT being given one of those titles; anonymously-sourced reporting, 'frontrunner' or 'expected to be named' stories.
- Resolves NO otherwise, including if the role stays formally vacant through 2026-11-15.
