Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Other (99%)
Resolved: Oct 10, 2026, 12:40 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Other
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 10, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Roma Daravi5.9%
Natalie Harp0.2%
Alina Habba4.3%
Anna Kelly24%
Steven Cheung0.2%
Scott Jennings0.2%
Other99%
Won
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to the person chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt when she leaves the job at the end of August 2026.
