Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 78.7%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleAug 20, 25, 5:26 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
Following the introduction of the Online Safety Act, VPN downloads have topped the various app stores’ download charts, and several MPs have spoken about how this may mean there is a need to restrict access to VPNs to ensure children are protected.
- Obviously this would represent an incredible upgrade to the capabilities of the surveillance state, so is something to be carefully monitored.
- To that end, this market will resolve YES if at any point before the next General Election, any of the following events occur:
- 1) A bill restricting access to VPNs is introduced by a government minister on behalf of the Government (not a Private Member’s Bill).
- 2) VPN restriction is mentioned in the King’s Speech.
- 3) Home Office, DCMS, or Cabinet Office publishes a draft bill or White Paper explicitly proposing VPN restrictions.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 79% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament? resolve?
- Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.
- How is Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Following the introduction of the Online Safety Act, VPN downloads have topped the various app stores’ download charts, and several MPs have spoken about how this may mean there is a need to restrict access to VPNs to ensure children are protected.