Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (96.4%)
Resolved: Sep 30, 2026, 8:28 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 30, 2026, 11:41 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if the UAE government officially announces, before 12:00 AM Gulf Standard Time on October 1, 2026, a full or partial lifting of its August 2026 trade suspension that permits general non-humanitarian commercial trade with Iran.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Humanitarian exceptions, case-specific waivers, informal statements, or financial transactions that remain prohibited under the general suspension do not count.
- Primary sources: official UAE government or WAM.
- The market closes 12 hours before the deadline.
