Will the Trump's Board of Peace help with long term peace in the Iran conflict
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopoliticsMiddle East2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93.4%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 23 hours ago
StaleJun 23, 26, 8:01 PM UTCJan 20, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Basically there is a newly announced global institution for creating peace (the Board of Peace).
- The same person that announced this institution was involved with creating a conflict that has been effecting the globe (the Iran war).
- I've not seen reporting connecting the two, which is odd even if the institution was created for the conflict in Palestine (partly since its logo is a world map, even if its centred on the US).
- Resolves yes if there is reporting of the institute being used during negotiations for peace in Iran, conditional on the agreement being long term peace and on the institute having a relatively large role (ie. not just a Truth Social claim or Jared Kushner / Steve Witkoff having some involvement).
- I won't bet on this market, it just exists for me to see if people expect this institute to be involved in peace by using one specific conflict.
