Will the Republicans Gain Maine´s 2nd Congressional District in 2026
One-OffUS PoliticsElectionPolitics9d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 58%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Feb 20, 26, 9:47 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 1:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Iowa's 2nd congressional district election winner
FutuurWill Democrat Shomari Figures win Alabamas 2nd congressional district in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will win California's 22nd Congressional District election, 2026?
Manifold MarketsCalifornia's 22nd congressional district election winner
FutuurVirginia's 2nd congressional district election winner
FutuurWill Democrats win Nevadas 2nd congressional district in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- The general election is November 3, 2026.
- The market resolves YES if a Republican wins Maine's 2nd Congressional District House seat in the 2026 general election, and NO if a Democrat wins.
- Resolution will be determined by official results from the Maine Secretary of State's office at https://www.maine.gov/sos/elections/.
- With Democratic U.S. Rep. Jared Golden not running again, there is an open seat for one of the most closely watched U.S. House races this year.
- The district voted for Trump by 9.5% in 2024 while re-electing Golden by less than one percent, making it the most presidentially-Republican congressional district held by a Democrat in the country, and is considered one of the best opportunities in non-redistricted seats for a Republican pickup.
