Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 75%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleApr 25, 25, 10:44 PM UTCDec 30, 62, 11:41 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PredictItRules
This market will resolve to YES, only if the next Pope and President USA Donald Trump shake hands (or perform gesture of similar manner, greeting by touching hands) while being in the office.
- This will resolve to NO once it's certain that the person in question will not be anymore the Pope/POTUS and there has been no handshake.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Pope Leo XIV shake hand with President Trump??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 75% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the Pope Leo XIV shake hand with President Trump? resolve?
- Will the Pope Leo XIV shake hand with President Trump? is scheduled to resolve on December 30, 2062.
- How is Will the Pope Leo XIV shake hand with President Trump? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to YES, only if the next Pope and President USA Donald Trump shake hands (or perform gesture of similar manner, greeting by touching hands) while being in the office.