What are the current odds for Will the Jones Act be loosened if and only if Trump wins the presidency??

Manifold Markets prices No at 65.8% as of October 27, 2026.

Will the Jones Act be loosened if and only if Trump wins the presidency?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 65.8%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Lagging

Sep 27, 24, 8:40 PM UTCJan 22, 29, 6:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

This question will resolve Yes if Trump wins the presidency and the Jones Act is loosened, or if he doesn't and it isn't.

It will resolve No if Trump loses the presidency and the Jones Act remains, or if he loses and it is loosened.
(By the end of the next presidential term, 2028-01-21, as per the underlying market.)
This is a derivative market, and will resolve exactly according to these underlying markets: @/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-the-2024-election
@/EvanDaniel/will-the-jones-act-be-repealed-or-s