Will the Jones Act be in effect for more than half of 2027?
One-OffTrade PolicyUS PoliticsRegulation1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 60.5%
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8
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binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 49 minutes ago
LaggingJun 5, 26, 5:13 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
The Jones Act requires that US shipping be carried on US made, US owned, US crewed vessels.
- It has been widely criticized for its effects on prices for US shipping, including emergency relief.
- It has also recently been waived by the Trump administration twice in a row, and is not in effect as of this question writing.
- This question includes both waivers and repeals.