Will the Jones Act be in effect for more than half of 2027?
One-OffTrade PolicyUS PoliticsRegulation1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 60.5%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJun 5, 26, 5:13 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
The Jones Act requires that US shipping be carried on US made, US owned, US crewed vessels.
- It has been widely criticized for its effects on prices for US shipping, including emergency relief.
- It has also recently been waived by the Trump administration twice in a row, and is not in effect as of this question writing.
- This question includes both waivers and repeals.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Jones Act be in effect for more than half of 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 61% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the Jones Act be in effect for more than half of 2027? resolve?
- Will the Jones Act be in effect for more than half of 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Will the Jones Act be in effect for more than half of 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The Jones Act requires that US shipping be carried on US made, US owned, US crewed vessels.