Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 66.8%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleMay 31, 25, 9:30 PM UTCJan 1, 50, 10:29 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
The International Court of Justice (ICJ) is currently deliberating on the case brought by The Gambia against Myanmar, alleging genocide against the Rohingya people.
- This market resolves to "Yes" if the ICJ issues a ruling determining that Myanmar violated the Genocide Convention in this case, and "No" otherwise.
- This question does NOT ask if the court will find that Myanmar actually committed genocide, just whether or not it violated the Convention.
- See https://manifold.markets/nathanwei/icj-determines-myanmar-committed-ge?play=true for a market on that.
- [link preview]Update 2025-05-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has specified the following details for resolution:
- The market will resolve based on the ICJ's final judgment on the merits in The Gambia v.
