![Will the head of state of [country] officially be named [title] of that country on any day in 2039?](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2F8Kraken8%252F0a48fcb54b4e.jpg&w=128&q=80)
Will the head of state of [country] officially be named [title] of that country on any day in 2039?
Middle EastOne-OffRussia / Ukraine13y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Shah (Iran) 52.1%Leader of 11 outcomes
Shah (Iran) 52.1%Forecasters
20
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleFeb 8, 24, 4:37 PM UTCJan 1, 40, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolves as 'Yes' if the respective head of state bears the title at some point in 2039.
- Note that only the official title is necessary, even if they are e.g. still chosen by regular elections.
- The answer needs to be the official title or a generally accepted English translation of the title.
- Resolves as 'Yes' if the name of the title would be as listed if its holder had a different gender (e.g. 'Tsarina' or 'Tsaritsa' instead of 'Tsar').
- Resolves 'No' if the country ceases to meaningfully exist or retains less that 10% of the territory it had in January 2024.
- A country changing its name can still resolve as 'Yes', e.g. if Iran becomes Persia and has a Shah, it would count.
