At any point before start of 2050, will a country named Yakutia or Sakha (or something similar) be a member of the UN?
Russia / UkraineOne-OffManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 82.9%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 43 minutes ago
May 6, 24, 7:27 AM UTCDec 31, 49, 7:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Something like "Republic of Sakha", "Sakha federation", "Yakut republic" etc. would also count.
- The purpose of this market is to predict if the Sakha republic would secede from Russia.
- If a country with a similar name is member of the UN that has no relation whatsoever to the Sakha republic that is currently part of Russia, this is not enough to trigger a YES resolution.
- This question refers to some kind of descendant of the current Sakha republic.
- Check out my similar markets about Siberia in general, as well as Chechnya
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/wadimiusz/at-any-point-before-start-of-2050-w-577334d56c4e):
