At any point before start of 2050, will a country named Chechnya (or similar) be a member of the UN?
Russia / UkraineOne-OffManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 60.5%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMay 21, 24, 3:39 PM UTCDec 31, 49, 7:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
"Chechen republic" and similar stuff would also count.
- The purpose of this market is to predict if Chechnya would secede from Russia.
- Resolves negatively if the United Nations themselves cease to exist before Chechnya can join them as an independent state.
- Check out my similar markets about Sakha and Siberia in general:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/wadimiusz/at-any-point-before-start-of-2050-w)(https://manifold.markets/embed/market/at-any-point-before-the-start-of-20)