Will the FY2028 deficit be lower than the FY2024 deficit?
InflationOne-OffMacro & EconomyUS Politics2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 70.1%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleNov 21, 24, 3:35 AM UTCOct 1, 28, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
The United States FY2024 deficit was around $1,832,816,000,000 ($1.8 trillion).
- Will the FY2028 (ends September 30, 2028) deficit be lower?
- Data source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYFSD
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the FY2028 deficit be lower than the FY2024 deficit??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 70% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will the FY2028 deficit be lower than the FY2024 deficit? resolve?
- Will the FY2028 deficit be lower than the FY2024 deficit? is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2028.
- How is Will the FY2028 deficit be lower than the FY2024 deficit? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The United States FY2024 deficit was around $1,832,816,000,000 ($1.8 trillion).
