Will the farm bill (HR 7567) pass and destroy / federally preempt state animal welfare laws?
One-OffUS PoliticsPoliticsSociety & Culture2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 8:15 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 97.2%
Forecasters
96
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleApr 29, 26, 12:45 AM UTCJan 14, 27, 12:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a new Farm Bill become law by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill wild-animal welfare interventions get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens 2026
Manifold MarketsWill the National Guard kill at least 10 protestors by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?
Manifold MarketsLabour Home Secretary publicly defy UK court ruling on deportation before next GE?
Manifold MarketsRules
The EATS act—now called the save our bacon act—would make it illegal for states to pass animal welfare laws that apply to products produced out of state.
- This would gut most state level animal protection.
- It would be the worst law for animal welfare ever passed, and would consign hundreds of millions of animals to a life in a cage.
- Terrifyingly, it has been added to the recent farm bill (though fortunately, even if it passes, egg laying hens will be spared).
- It will be voted on in the next few days, so this is EXTREMELY TIME SENSITIVE!
- (from Bentham’s Bulldog — I also heard about this from my local animal welfare club)
