Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 64.2%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleNov 11, 24, 4:03 AM UTCOct 10, 27, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
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Manifold MarketsRules
Based on the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis's "Core Consumer Price Index" (which excludes food and energy prices for all urban consumers), core inflation averaged 5.16% annually from January 2021 to January 2024.
- If this same rate continues, projecting from September 2024's CPI value of 320.767, the expected Core CPI in September 2027 would reach approximately 373.03.
- Will actual core inflation exceed this projection?
- This market will settle as YES If the CPI value published by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis for 2027-09-01 is greater than 373.03.
- Source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPILFESL
