Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 64%
Yes 64%Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleMay 19, 23, 3:51 PM UTCJan 27, 37, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the 48th President of the United States be a member of the Democratic party?
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PolymarketRules
Official ruling for @EvanDaniel:
- 47th president only counts the single consecutive term (or terms) of Donald Trump that is currently ongoing.
- If that term(s) ends with no impeachment this would resolve No. Feel free to ask more specific questions about cases like acting presidents and other nonsense only if they actually come up.
