Current community forecast
Opportunity Party polls at 5.00% or more in 3 or more polls? 100%
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-5.7 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jan 29, 26, 2:06 AM UTCNov 25, 26, 2:06 AM UTC
Trends
100%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
resolves yes if TPM or Opportunity polls at 5.00% or more in 3 different polls (at least 2 different polling companies) in the 2026 Nov 7 NZ election.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2026_New_Zealand_general_election#Table_of_polls
- Polls accepted:
- RNZ-Reid Research
- taxpayer union-curia
- the post/freshwater strategy
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Te Pati Maori or Opportunity Party poll at 5.00% or more for the 2026 NZ election??
- Manifold Markets prices Opportunity Party polls at 5.00% or more in 3 or more polls? at 100% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Te Pati Maori or Opportunity Party poll at 5.00% or more for the 2026 NZ election? resolve?
- Will Te Pati Maori or Opportunity Party poll at 5.00% or more for the 2026 NZ election? is scheduled to resolve on November 25, 2026.
- How is Will Te Pati Maori or Opportunity Party poll at 5.00% or more for the 2026 NZ election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: resolves yes if TPM or Opportunity polls at 5.00% or more in 3 different polls (at least 2 different polling companies) in the 2026 Nov 7 NZ election.