Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastJanuary 100%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
176
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-4.6 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJan 2, 26, 6:29 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
For each month, the option resolves YES if, during that month, there is a Google search term which spikes like crazy.
- This is determined based on the following method:
- On Google Trends, pick "Worldwide" and "Web Search".
- Pick a search term that you want to check for craziness.
- Pick "google" as the search term to compare to.
- Look at the end-of-day scores for "google" and [term].
