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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Will something CRAZY happen? [Monthly Market]
Manifold Markets

Will something CRAZY happen? [Monthly Market]

PoliticsTechGeopoliticsSports6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
January 100%
Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters

143

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Jan 2, 26, 6:29 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

May3%

Rules

For each month, the option resolves YES if, during that month, there is a Google search term which spikes like crazy.

Manifold Markets
  • This is determined based on the following method:
  • On Google Trends, pick "Worldwide" and "Web Search".
  • Pick a search term that you want to check for craziness.
  • Pick "google" as the search term to compare to.
  • Look at the end-of-day scores for "google" and [term].

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Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

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Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?

Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?

$100
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What will happen in 2026 related to AI?

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Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

$6.7
United States: 61%KalshiKALSHI
Will the US acquire any new territory?

Will the US acquire any new territory?

$0.3
Before Jan 2027: 6%KalshiKALSHI
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

$148.2K
United Russia (ER): 56%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Active in these topics

SolanaSOL$68.20-4.27%BitcoinBTC$62,451.98-2.41%EthereumETH$1,688.30-3.06%DogecoinDOGE$0.0823-3.02%BNBBNB$571.83-2.93%XRPXRP$1.12-4.03%

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Rules

For each month, the option resolves YES if, during that month, there is a Google search term which spikes like crazy.

Manifold Markets
  • This is determined based on the following method:
  • On Google Trends, pick "Worldwide" and "Web Search".
  • Pick a search term that you want to check for craziness.
  • Pick "google" as the search term to compare to.
  • Look at the end-of-day scores for "google" and [term].